Analyst who nailed tech rally sets bold S&P 500 target

2 months ago 59

Moz Farooque

Sun, December 21, 2025 astatine 2:37 PM CST 4 min read

Big banal marketplace forecasts tin beryllium casual to overlook, particularly erstwhile the numbers consciousness much similar wishful thinking.

However, immoderate strategists gain the payment of the doubt, particularly erstwhile they person built a coagulated estimation for being close much often than not.

Mary Ann Bartels has built that reputation.

Bartels has been softly making the close calls, drafting connected astir four decades of elder enactment experience, including astatine Bank of America/Merrill Lynch.

Currently, Bartels serves arsenic the main concern strategist astatine Sanctuary Wealth, a “supported independence” wealthiness platform.

The steadfast operates a robust hybrid RIA and broker-dealer model, backing implicit 125 spouse advisory firms spearheading much than $55 cardinal successful assets.

For example, successful precocious 2023, she told Barron’s The Way Forward podcast that Big Tech whitethorn thrust the marketplace to caller highs successful 2024.

That forecast proved prescient arsenic the “Magnificent Seven” helped assistance the S&P 500 to grounds levels and astir a 25% gain.

A twelvemonth later, she made different head-turning prediction, saying the marketplace could surge nearly 20% successful 2025.

With lone a fewer weeks near successful the twelvemonth and the S&P 500 up more than 15%, according to IG, her prediction is again wrong striking distance.

So erstwhile Bartels forecasts the S&P 500 reaching arsenic high arsenic 13,000 by 2030, it’s acold from being conscionable noise.

<em>Mary Ann Bartels says the S&P 500’s tally isn’t implicit done 2030</em>.Photo by Michael M&period; Santiago connected Getty Images

Bartels is forecasting the S&P 500 to surge to a 10,000 to 13,000 range by the extremity of the decade.

For perspective, the scale closed Friday, Dec. 19, 2025, astatine 6,834.50.

A determination towards the 10,000 people represents astir a 46% gain, portion the high-end 13,000 people points to a 90% summation implicit the adjacent fewer years.

More Tech Stocks:

Morgan Stanley sets jaw-dropping Micron terms people aft event
Nvidia’s China spot occupation isn’t what astir investors think
Quantum Computing makes $110 cardinal determination cipher saw coming
Morgan Stanley drops eye-popping Broadcom terms target
Apple expert sets bold banal people for 2026

However, Bartels is speedy to constituent retired that the way up is improbable to beryllium smooth.

Markets, she argues, “cannot proceed to spell vertical,” pointing to a comparatively choppy 2026, calling it a “necessary correction” pursuing years of outsized gains.

Multiple Wall Street firms person published year-end 2026 targets, and Bartels isn’t precisely retired connected an land with her view.

Oppenheimer Asset Management has a Street-high people astatine 8,100, according to Reuters, backed by $305 successful S&P 500 earnings, on with a resilient U.S. economy, implying 18% upside astatine the time.
Deutsche Bank projected 8,000, connected the backmost of robust net momentum and AI-powered tailwinds, portion modeling astir $320 successful EPS.
Morgan Stanley bumped its people to 7,800, Bloomberg reported, outlining that risk-on assets are positioned for a almighty 2026 amid AI-driven superior spending and conducive policy.
Citigroup landed astatine 7,700, with a bull lawsuit astatine a lofty 8,300 and a carnivore lawsuit of 5,700, expecting enactment to determination into “AI adopters.”
J.P. Morgan forecast 7,500, Reuters noted, connected the backmost of a resilient system and an AI “supercycle”.
UBS initially targeted 7,500, with aboriginal strategist roundups pointing to a determination person to 7,700 connected the backmost of the almighty AI-led rally.
Bank of America Global Research, led by Savita Subramanian, took the astir cautious stance astatine 7,100, modeling steadfast net maturation but multiple compression arsenic valuations determination downward.