Caterpillar Is Quietly Beating Nvidia Stock This Year. Should You Buy It?

1 week ago 7

Adam Spatacco, The Motley Fool

Mon, November 24, 2025 astatine 2:26 AM CST 5 min read

  • Caterpillar is the top-performing banal successful the Dow Jones this year.

  • The institution is uniquely positioned to payment from rising concern successful infrastructure, peculiarly from artificial quality (AI) demand.

  • Caterpillar's valuation has go frothy, but the stock's semipermanent representation supports a premium.

  • 10 stocks we similar amended than Caterpillar ›

Given Nvidia's prominence successful the market's biggest megatrend -- the artificial quality (AI) gyration -- it's astir unthinkable to see that ample headdress stocks successful different industries could beryllium outperforming the semiconductor giant.

So acold this year, shares of industrials specializer Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT) person gained 52% -- making it the top-performing banal successful the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI). Moreover, Caterpillar's show handily outpaces Nvidia's 2025 gains of astir 40%.

Let's analyse what is fueling Caterpillar's rally and measure whether the banal inactive remains a compelling buy.

Caterpillar operation  machine.

Image source: Getty Images.

Caterpillar's concern is divided into 3 categories: construction, assets industries, and vigor and transportation.

Through the archetypal 9 months of 2025, Caterpillar generated $48.5 cardinal successful gross -- fundamentally level twelvemonth implicit year. In addition, the company's operating nett of $8.5 cardinal is astir 16% little compared to 2024 levels.

This isn't precisely the astir robust fiscal profile. This raises the question: Why are investors cheering connected Caterpillar stock? I spot a mates of reasons for the rally.

First, the company's disbursal illustration has taken a toll owed to the caller tariff policies that went into effect earlier this year. On immoderate level, investors are apt accounting for this headwind and assuming that ongoing commercialized negotiations volition pb to a much stabilized outgo operation successful the long-run -- thereby improving nett margins.

In addition, investors are paying adjacent attraction to where Caterpillar is deriving its maturation from. Specifically, the company's vigor and proscription concern has started to seizure a batch of attraction acknowledgment to accelerating concern successful AI infrastructure.

Buried heavy wrong of Caterpillar's latest 10Q filing, the institution breaks retired its conception gross successful large detail. The array beneath summarizes the company's gross for the vigor and proscription segment.

Category

Nine Months Ended 9/30/2025

Nine Months Ended 9/30/2024

% Change

Oil and gas

$5.1 billion

$5.0 billion

1%

Power generation

$7.0 billion

$5.5 billion

28%

Industrial

$3.1 billion

$3.1 billion

1%

Transportation

$3.8 billion

$3.9 billion

(4%)

Total vigor & transportation

$19.0 billion

$17.6 billion

8%

Data Source: Caterpillar Q3 2025 10Q


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