Five reasons Trump's Ukraine plan is deal Putin can't afford to refuse

Over the weekend, representatives of the United States and Ukraine met successful Geneva for talks that were "highly productive," according to the White House.

On the array present is simply a draught 28-point program that represents a coagulated concern woody for Ukraine. This program is nary triumph for Russian President Vladimir Putin. He didn’t get Ukraine oregon destruct President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

"Something bully conscionable whitethorn beryllium happening," erstwhile President Donald Trump said Monday morning.

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The nonaccomplishment of territory successful the Donbas portion is achy and tragic. Unfortunately, Russia inactive has capable missiles to pummel Ukraine’s cities and vigor infrastructure for years. It is simply a regular humanitarian disaster.

This warfare indispensable extremity — for America’s sake, too. Since 2022, it has unleashed planetary geopolitical chaos, with China bankrolling Russia’s penetration and Putin reportedly trading atomic weapons plan secrets for North Korean ammunition and soldiers.

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The determined and diplomatic Special Envoy Witkoff has been moving connected this connection since the spring, alongside Russian financier Kirill Dmitriev, who has the acold look of an other from "Yellowstone." Disregard the diplomatic face-saving — similar the palaver astir Ukraine not targeting Moscow and St. Petersburg. Whatever. Here are 5 beardown points successful the Witkoff plan.

1. Prosperity for Ukraine

The champion portion of this program is the imaginable dawn of prosperity for Ukraine, opening with instant entree to the European Union. Ukraine would stock energy from the Zaporizhzhia atomic powerfulness plant—Europe’s largest—under IAEA control. Riverine and Black Sea atom shipping routes would beryllium secured.

It’s not successful the plan, but with bid comes the imaginable of large American tech investment. How astir an AI information halfway successful Lviv? Ukraine could thrive.

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2. A Big Military

A 600,000-member subject should beryllium sufficient. Great Britain’s totals 181,000, and Poland—Europe’s powerhouse—has 216,000 successful uniform. Of course, Ukraine volition request hundreds of U.S. M1 Abrams tanks to signifier a mobile, deterrent obstruction susceptible of stopping Russia successful the future.

It goes without saying that Ukraine should clasp its monolithic aerial defenses. NATO, the United States, and American companies already supply important cyber and abstraction powerfulness to Ukraine.

Don’t forget, NATO was ever numerically outmatched by the Warsaw Pact during the Cold War. The strategy past depended connected precision and mobility to antagonistic a Soviet crushed attack—and it worked. Send much U.S. tanks to Poland, too, truthful there’s nary flank accidental done Belarus oregon the Baltics.

3. Airpower

European combatant jets based successful Poland (as per Point 9) are adjacent capable to swoop successful if Russia reattacks. There’s nary bounds connected the fig of F-35s rotating done Poland. Airpower remains the azygous champion defence against a renewed penetration and a bulwark against cruise rocket attacks.

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One day, Ukraine should person its ain fleet of F-35s to assistance with mobile crushed defence and intercept cruise missiles—although the enactment astatine the F-35 mill is rather agelong close now.

4. Catnip for Putin

For Putin, there’s plentifulness to like. He gets to rejoin the G8 nine contempt Russia’s tiny economy. The program includes sanctions alleviation and "re-integration" into the planetary market—which, by the way, is indispensable to weaken Moscow’s dependence connected Beijing.

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5. Unfrozen Russian Assets

Euroclear Bank successful Belgium and others clasp an estimated $300 cardinal successful frozen Russian assets. The Witkoff program would pat immoderate of that wealth for Ukraine—a determination definite to marque Europe squirm due to the fact that of banking regularisation implications and mislaid involvement income.

Sadly, implicit the weekend, European negotiators watered down Witkoff’s plan. How situation they? What wars has the European Union resolved lately? The bureaucratic "edit" of the 28-point program was laughable, particularly the portion delaying Ukraine’s EU membership.

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While Britain, France, Germany and others stay beardown allies and bilateral partners, the EU’s bureaucratic mindset has agelong since failed Ukraine. Europe can’t resoluteness this war.

President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy participates successful a briefing astatine the Office of the President pursuing a unit gathering successful Kyiv, Ukraine, connected Nov. 7, 2025. (Pavlo Bahmut/Ukrinform/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

Personally, I’d similar to spot each Russian retired of Ukraine — including Crimea. When President Joe Biden held backmost NATO airpower earlier the penetration and past watched Russia excavation 3 belts of minefields crossed Kherson successful precocious 2022, the tactical occupation became acold much complicated.

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Everyone has a price, arsenic the saying goes successful existent estate. Finding Putin’s price—short of restoring imperial Russia—has proven astir impossible, particularly with China offering "no-limits friendship" and supplying illicit defence microelectronics.

Putin has a sensation for war, and defence accumulation helps support him successful power. After the war, arsenic the world of 1 cardinal Russian casualties sinks in, Putin could find himself a vassal to Xi Jinping. Or, helium tin instrumentality this deal.

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