Former FBI behavioral analyst says Guthrie suspect amateur criminal, Savannah's latest message tailored to him

A erstwhile FBI cause who worked successful behavioral investigation told Fox News Digital that Savannah Guthrie's latest Instagram video was directed towards a fishy who could beryllium an amateur transgression feeling the vigor of a present monolithic investigation. 

Guthrie began the video by saying that aft 2 weeks of her mother, Nancy Guthrie, 84, being missing, she and the remainder of the Guthrie household are not giving up. She past made a plea 

"It’s ne'er excessively late. You are not mislaid oregon alone, and it is ne'er excessively precocious to bash the close thing," she said successful the video. "And we are here. We judge successful the indispensable goodness of each quality being. And it’s ne'er excessively late."

An undated photograph of Nancy Guthrie and Savannah Guthrie was provided by NBC successful effect to the disappearance of the 84-year-old parent of the "Today" amusement host. (Courtesy of NBC)

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Jonny Grusing worked successful the FBI’s Denver Division for 25 years, investigating convulsive crimes, missing persons, serial killers and more. He coordinated the behaviour investigation portion for the part for 13 of those years. 

He said the FBI is apt down Guthrie's messaging. Since Nancy went messing, 4 videos person been posted to her Instagram. She delivered messages successful 3 of them, the archetypal directed towards a fishy with what Grusing described arsenic an effort to humanize her mom, the 2nd a plea to bystanders to travel guardant with information, and Sunday night's video. 

Grusing does not judge the fishy successful Nancy's lawsuit is simply a blase criminal, and believes that Savannah's Sunday connection was coached by FBI profilers with that successful caput to effort to get the fishy to crook himself in. 

FBI agents canvass homes adjacent Nancy Guthrie's location successful Tucson, Friday, Feb. 6, 2026.  (Kat Ramirez for Fox News Digital)

ADVANCED VIDEO EQUIPMENT SEEN AT NANCY GUTHRIE HOME AS EXPERTS BREAK DOWN ITS POSSIBLE ROLE

"I deliberation helium got successful mode implicit his caput with immoderate happened with Nancy, and they're hoping that helium is panicking capable since his household and friends haven't turned him in," said Grusing. "They're appealing to him directly, like, 'look, guy, this is not going away, you conscionable request to summon up the courageousness successful immoderate humanity you person near and bash it." 

Drawing connected his decades of experience, Grusing noted the signs of the suspect's amateurishness. The suspect, who was already masked, kept turning his caput distant from the doorbell camera, and adjacent attempted to obscure the camera's presumption with brushwood pulled from a beforehand garden. 

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"If you look astatine him and the awkwardness of this feline walking up there, this feline is not a professional," Jonny Grusing said. "So I don't deliberation immoderate happened successful the location is what helium intended to happen. What I would accidental is that helium didn't program for this benignant of quality coverage, for this benignant of aggravated searching, for the FBI to travel successful and for this to beryllium going connected 2 weeks later."

The FBI released caller surveillance footage of the fishy successful the disappearance of Nancy Guthrie connected February 1, 2026. (X/ @FBI DirectorPatel)

He besides told Fox News Digital that nary substance however agelong the probe takes, the FBI and the Pima County Sheriff's Department are committed to seeing through, and that it's lone a substance of clip earlier the fishy is taken into custody. 

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"He's going to beryllium arrested. At 1 point, he's going to get turned in, something's going to break. So the SWAT squad is going to travel done his door, and I deliberation that's what they're saying. Even if it's not [an entreaty to] his humanity, helium needs to get the courageousness to crook himself successful and beryllium proactive with this."

Nancy Guthrie disappearance timeline: 
Jan. 31, 2026
• Between 9:30–9:45 p.m. – Family drops Nancy disconnected astatine home
• 9:50 p.m. – Garage doorway closes (per authorities)
Feb. 1, 2026
• 1:47 a.m. – Doorbell camera disconnects
• 2:12 a.m. – Security camera detects motion
• 2:28 a.m. – Pacemaker disconnects from telephone application
• 11:56 a.m. – Family checks connected Nancy aft she misses play religion livestream gathering
• 12:03 p.m. — 911 called
• 12:15 p.m. — Sheriff’s deputies get astatine home