Nancy Guthrie was alive when abducted, blood evidence shows 'last stand' on front porch: retired FBI agent

TUCSON, Ariz. — Blood spatter connected Nancy Guthrie's beforehand structure shows she was inactive live erstwhile coerced retired of her location by a lone abductor successful the Catalina Foothills of Tucson, according to a retired FBI profiler — who besides believes that the masked fishy made capable mistakes that helium volition beryllium identified eventually.

"We besides cognize astatine slightest that she was live astatine that time," said Jim Clemente, who spent 22 years successful the bureau.

That's based connected his investigation of humor connected her beforehand porch. There was a attraction of circular droplets adjacent the beforehand door, past a thinning way toward her driveway.

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An equipped idiosyncratic appears to tamper with the camera astatine Nancy Guthrie's beforehand doorway the greeting of her disappearance successful Tucson, Ariz., connected Feb. 1, 2026. (Courtesy of NBC, FBI)

"She indispensable person aspirated and past coughed up humor with her look precise adjacent to the ground, and I don't judge that would person happened had 2 radical been carrying her astatine that point," helium told Fox News Digital.

Guthrie, the 84-year-old parent of "Today" co-host Savannah Guthrie, is believed to person been kidnapped from her location astir 2:30 a.m. connected Feb. 1. For days, determination were fewer clues astir who was responsible, until the FBI and Google recovered imagery from her Nest doorbell camera that showed a masked antheral wearing gloves and a holstered pistol get connected her beforehand steps the nighttime she vanished.

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Savannah Guthrie visits the Today amusement astatine Rockefeller Plaza successful New York connected March 5, 2026. (Charles Sykes/Invision/AP)

He is described arsenic supra mean tallness and build. He was wearing a achromatic Ozark Trail backpack, agelong sleeves, gloves and a skis mask. And helium remains unidentified astir 100 days later.

Still, the video is afloat of clues, Clemente told Fox News Digital.

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Although the fishy is believed to person scouted the determination successful advance, helium resorted to utilizing foliage to artifact the Nest camera lens and had the imaginable to shed facial hairsbreadth done his skis mask, Clemente said.

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"In the process of doing that, I judge helium revealed what looked similar a tattoo connected his wrist, which would not person been revealed had helium adequately prepared for that camera being there," helium said.

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Aerial drone shots amusement the location and grounds of Nancy Guthrie successful Tucson, Ariz., connected Tuesday, Feb. 3, 2026. Nancy Guthrie, parent of 'Today' amusement big Savannah Guthrie, is believed to person been abducted from wrong connected Feb. 1. (Fox Flight Team/Fox News)

"So it tells maine that helium is not a blase offender. He was benignant of bumbling his mode done this, and helium made different mistakes, and I judge those mistakes volition straight pb to his capture."

While investigators person kept details astir the wrong of the location close, immoderate person leaked, and they overgarment a story, Clemente said.

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"I judge that what it means is helium threatened her with his weapon erstwhile helium was astatine her bedside," helium told Fox News Digital. "He got her to travel down, and astatine the beforehand doorway is wherever she realized he's going to instrumentality maine and this is precise unsafe and I should fight. And she did."

An equipped idiosyncratic appears to tamper with a Google Nest camera astatine Nancy Guthrie's beforehand doorway successful Tucson, Arizona, connected Feb. 1, 2026, the greeting of her disappearance. (FBI)

The doorbell video does not amusement Guthrie being taken from her home, though determination was humor intelligibly disposable connected her chromatic walkway. The camera itself was missing erstwhile deputies arrived the adjacent morning. However, the information that the FBI was capable to retrieve video anyhow apt shocked the kidnapper, Clemente said, and idiosyncratic successful his orbit should person been capable to prime up the signs.

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The FBI released 2 images recovered from Nancy Guthrie's Nest doorbell camera showing a masked antheral wearing gloves connected her porch. It is unclear if some images amusement the aforesaid person. (Courtesy of FBI)

"Because of each the mistakes this feline made, due to the fact that of his ineptness and non-professional behaviour successful this, I judge that helium exhibited a large grade of accent erstwhile the images were archetypal released," Clemente said. "Anybody astir him should person noticed that alteration successful behaviour and perchance beryllium capable to place him due to the fact that of that."

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There was besides an unidentified hairsbreadth illustration recovered from the home. The sheriff's section initially sent it to a backstage laboratory successful Florida. After 11 weeks, the laboratory determination sent it to the FBI for much precocious analysis.

A subordinate of the Pima County Sheriff's Department stands successful beforehand of the location of Nancy Guthrie, the missing parent of "Today" amusement big Savannah Guthrie, successful Tucson, Ariz., connected Feb. 10, 2026. (Ty ONeil/AP Photo)

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"If it is simply a hairsbreadth from the offender, past it volition pb to his identification," Clemente said. "They volition person his name."

There is simply a combined reward of much than $1.2 cardinal for accusation that cracks the case.

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To stay anonymous, interaction Tucson's 88-Crime extremity enactment astatine (520) 882-7463.

The household is besides urging anyone with accusation to dial 1-800-CALL-FBI.