Trey Thoelcke
Wed, March 11, 2026 astatine 6:40 AM CDT 4 min read
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Visa (V) trades astatine $314.43, down 10.3% YTD, with Q1 gross $10.90B up 14.6% YoY but nett income up lone 1.6% successful FY2025 owed to $3.213B successful litigation provisions.
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Europe is gathering a outgo web covering 130M users crossed 13 countries to bypass Visa and Mastercard, with the integer euro targeting 2026 adoption.
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The expert who called NVIDIA successful 2010 conscionable named his apical 10 AI stocks. Get them present FREE.
Visa (NYSE: V) is 1 of the market's astir reliable compounders: ascendant network, accordant net beats, and a concern exemplary that prints currency successful astir immoderate economical environment. It's a status portfolio staple. But Visa ranks among the astir shorted stocks successful the Dow Jones Industrial Average, according to just-released data. And the bears are onto thing that the statement "Buy" assemblage is underweighting.
The banal closed astatine $314.43 connected Tuesday, down 10.3% year-to-date, portion the broader Dow is fundamentally flat, disconnected conscionable 0.7% YTD. That's meaningful underperformance from a bluish spot expected to beryllium a harmless harbor.
Visa's fundamentals are genuinely strong. Q1 FY2026 gross came successful astatine $10.90 billion, up 15% year-over-year, with processed transactions rising 9% to 69.4 billion. The institution has beaten net estimates each 4th of the past year. Analyst statement sits astatine a "Buy" with an mean terms people of $400.47. The bull lawsuit writes itself.
READ: The expert who called NVIDIA successful 2010 just named his apical 10 AI stocks
The occupation hides beneath the non-GAAP header numbers. Over the past 4 quarters, Visa has recorded cumulative litigation provisions of $3.213 cardinal tied to the interchange multidistrict litigation settlement. That's a recurring resistance crushing GAAP profitability. Despite gross increasing 11.3% successful FY2025, nett income roseate lone 1.6% and operating income grew conscionable 1.69%. Revenue is surging; existent nett is hardly moving.
Then there's Europe. A viral Reddit station titled "Europe's $24 Trillion Breakup With Visa and Mastercard Has Begun" accumulated astir 8,000 upvotes connected r/investing, and the underlying communicative is real: the European Payments Initiative and EuroPA Alliance signed an statement to physique a pan-European outgo web covering 130 cardinal users crossed 13 countries, built astir the integer wallet Wero, explicitly designed to bypass American outgo networks. With the integer euro targeting 2026 for legislative finalization and the motorboat of method pilots, this isn't a distant threat.

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